Wolfpack AD Boo Corrigan |
Lest you live in a vacuum, all it takes is a little reading between the lines of a statement from N.C. State’s athletics director Boo Corrigan in which he spouts typical post-season support of his head football coach, who just completed his seventh season (4-8 overall and 1-7 in the Atlantic Coast Conference) with the Wolfpack.
“The conclusion of a season is a
time to reflect, look in the mirror and evaluate the overall direction of the
program,” said Corrigan, just seven months on the job in Raleigh, in the
December 2 statement. “Dave Doeren is our football coach. He has earned it by
winning nine games in back-to-back seasons and I look forward to doing all I
can to help. The 2019 season didn’t unfold the way any of us wanted but we will
continue to invest in this program, and to provide the resources to help N.C.
State football compete at the highest level.”
Wolfpack football coach Dave Doeren |
As far as competing at the highest
level, it shouldn’t take much for Doeren to move upward because being at the
bottom means upward (or status quo, unfortunately) is the only way to go. After
seven seasons in Raleigh, Doeren has a 21-35 ACC record. The 1-7 mark this year
and his 0-8 record in 2013 landed the Wolfpack in dead last both seasons in what
many football experts say is the weakest from top to bottom of the Power
5 conferences: ACC, Southeastern, Big 10, Big 12, and Pac 12.
In between the first and last
seasons, Doeren coached the Wolfpack to three straight 3-5 conference records
and then jumped up to 6-2 and 5-3. Corrigan’s stated reason for retention was
about overall wins in seasons 2017 and 2018. Hopefully for Wolfpack fans,
improvement will mean winning at least four ACC games sooner than later, though
the fan base deserves better.
The 2020 season doesn’t get any
easier for the Wolfpack, even if its personnel is healthy and talented, both of
which are to be seen.
For starters, next fall, it appears N.C
State, coming off a dismal 2019 season, will open the on the road in an ACC
match-up. If that holds true, and with a home game against Mississippi State
set for the next weekend, the Wolfpack will have to get much better faster or
there could be a 2019 repeat in 2020.
More on the schedule a few
paragraphs later.
After the Wolfpack’s 2019 final game
last Saturday, a miserable and embarrassing 41-10 loss at home to North
Carolina, The News & Observer columnist Luke DeCock, in
his post-mortem column, summed up N.C. State’s game performance and future:
There’s none of (UNC’s post-game) optimism at
N.C. State, where the Wolfpack dropped its sixth straight to close out a
difficult, injury-plagued season at 4-8. Even if fully healthy, it’s hard to
see any obvious areas of automatic improvement next season, especially given
the quarterback situation, and Dave Doeren already reshuffled his staff after
last season, always the hole card of a coach with few other options.
N.C. State has certainly had its moments in this
rivalry under Doeren, but with the inroads North Carolina has made on the recruiting
trail under (coach Mack) Brown and the Wolfpack in a rebuilding process of
indeterminate length, the gap between the programs at the moment appears to be
as big as Saturday’s final score.
If what DeCock writes holds true,
that’s not exactly heart-warming for the Wolfpack program, especially for the
fans who should and rightfully expect much better from the program and from the
coach who will be entering his 8th season. Unfortunately, that seven-year 21-35
record against ACC brethren is a just plain lousy, ninth worst among the 12
head coaches N.C. State has had since 1953 when the ACC was formed.
So here comes 2020.
Instead of suffering in the heat and humidity of a
Labor Day weekend game in Raleigh’s Carter-Finley Stadium, the Wolfpack—according
to schedules of the 2020 season found on the website FBschedules.com—could open at Clemson, at Louisville,
or at Syracuse on the first weekend in September.
Or, not play that weekend at all and then be
without an open date for the next 12 weeks.
N.C. State’s non-conference games are Sept. 12
(Mississippi State, home), Sept. 19 (at Troy), Sept. 26 (Delaware, home), and
Nov. 21 (Liberty, home).
Schedules for Clemson, Louisville and Syracuse,
along with Georgia Tech, which is not on the Wolfpack’s calendar, do not have
games scheduled (according to the FBschedules.com site) for Labor Day weekend.
That usually means playing a conference game that weekend, but with five of 14 conference
teams not scheduled for Labor Day, and since only four teams could meet that
weekend, something will change between now and when the official ACC schedule is
published in January, maybe.
While using spring practice to
improve current personnel and using part of pre-season camp to determine the
role of incoming freshmen, there will be at least one week of preparation for
the opening game, especially important to get off on the right foot in conference
play, the season’s first game. One week may not be enough, and with N.C.
State’s young team (again next fall, though it shouldn’t be as young as touted
in 2019), time is simply not on the Wolfpack’s side.
After Labor Day is the home game
with Mississippi State which was 6-6, 3-5 in the Southeastern Conference in 2019.
It’s a Power 5 matchup that’s program-establishing for both teams. The Bulldogs
open the season the previous week against New Mexico which was 2-10 in 2019. An
easier opener, it seems, than the Wolfpack’s.
Two of the three remaining non-conference
games will not be effortless. The Wolfpack travels to Troy in game three. The
Trojans were 5-7 overall and 3-3 in the Sun Belt Conference. In addition to
hosting N.C. State, Troy plays at Tennessee in 2020.
The easiest game for 2020 should be
at home against Delaware, another 5-7, 3-5 (Colonial Athletic Association) team.
The Liberty game in late November, a week prior to the end of the season, is
supposed to be a breather game before playing at North Carolina, if
the Wolfpack and Tar Heels keep the Thanksgiving weekend spot on the ACC
schedule. The two schools jointly requested that a few years ago, but in nine
of 10 seasons of Mack Brown’s first stint at UNC, the Tar Heels and Duke played
the last regular season game for each team. Will Brown want to return to that
long-time tradition? It’s a good question to ask.
Liberty, FBS independent, was 7-5 in
2019 with one win against New Mexico and two versus Mexico State, one in Las
Cruces and one in Lynchburg. A game late in the season will not be easy for the
Wolfpack, especially if there’s a losing streak underway and with that game in
Chapel Hill pending.
Speaking of Duke, the Blue Devils
and the Wolfpack renew their rivalry for the first time since 2013, a game Duke
won 38-20 in Durham. Duke also won, 49-28, in Carter-Finley Stadium in 2009. In
2008, State won, 27-17, at Wallace Wade “Outdoor” Stadium. N.C. State and Duke
did not play 2004-2007, but the Blue Devils and the Wolfpack, about 30 miles
apart, had played every season starting with the 1945 game and through 2003.
Overall, Duke leads the series, 41-36-5. This will
be just the third game between Duke and State in 17 seasons, and that’s not
just a shame; it’s a damn shame. What was once a good rivalry game has turned
into just another conference game because of ACC expansion. No matter the date
of the game, it will be a tough one for the Wolfpack.
Duke, a home game for N.C. State, takes
the place of Georgia Tech on the Wolfpack’s 2019 schedule. The remaining games
are the same as last year with conference home games against Boston College,
Florida State, and Wake Forest, and games at Clemson, Louisville, Syracuse, and
North Carolina. Of those seven divisional games, maybe a win against
Boston College can be penciled in; the other six will be toss-ups at best. State will not be favored.
With just 13 weeks of regular season
games in 2020, it’s likely the Wolfpack’s open date will be either October 17
or 24, the two Saturdays when the North Carolina State Fair is scheduled. The
other State Fair date will be used for an away game. So, look for the
Wolfpack’s schedule to have two home games in September, three in October and
two in November, or something similar.
On the surface, the Wolfpack could and should win
at least three non-conference games. If the team wins all four, no matter what
happens Labor Day weekend, overall the team is looking at another losing season
and a way-down-the-line finish in the ACC.
Hopefully not.
In Doeren’s second season, N.C. State was 7-5
overall regular season record and 3-5 in the ACC. Don’t expect much more than
that in 2020, and maybe less.
What is the writing on the wall for Dave Doeren? Yes,
Doeren won nine games in his fifth and sixth seasons, and yes, his team made it
to five straight bowl games. But in total, the football program has been
mediocre at best, especially when looking at the 21-35 ACC record.
So, as far as the writing on the wall is
concerned, Wolfpack fans want to know but only Doeren and Corrigan have the answer.